Daily Archives: March 2, 2026

White Paper: The Morning After — Institutional Design for a Transitional Iran

Executive Summary The preceding four papers have mapped the architecture of the Islamic Republic’s control, the social forces arrayed against it, the strategic pathways through which transition might be achieved, and the competing political visions that would contend for influence … Continue reading

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White Paper: The Debate — Competing Visions for a Post-Mullah Iran

Executive Summary Agreement that the Islamic Republic must end is considerably easier to achieve than agreement about what should replace it. Among the forces arrayed against the regime — diaspora communities, internal opposition movements, ethnic minority parties, labor organizations, feminist … Continue reading

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White Paper: The Path — Strategic Scenarios for an Internally Driven Transition

Executive Summary White Papers 1 and 2 established the two poles of the Iranian political equation: a regime whose architecture of control is sophisticated, redundant, and deliberately engineered to resist internal challenge, and a society whose social forces for change … Continue reading

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White Paper: The Kindling — Social Forces Capable of Sustaining an Uprising

Executive Summary The Islamic Republic’s architecture of control, mapped in White Paper 1, is formidable but not impregnable. Whether it can be brought down from within depends ultimately not on the regime’s design but on the social forces arrayed against … Continue reading

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White Paper: The Architecture of Theocratic Control — How the Mullahs Stay in Power

Executive Summary The Islamic Republic of Iran has survived four decades of internal dissent, economic pressure, international isolation, and recurring protest cycles — including the most sustained challenge to its authority since the revolution itself, the Woman, Life, Freedom uprising … Continue reading

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