Tag Archives: statistics

White Paper: Identifying Criminal Concentration: Data Infrastructure Requirements and the Role of Denial in Urban Decline

Posted on December 17, 2025 by nathanalbright

Executive Summary Across societies with sufficiently developed administrative and criminal justice data systems, crime is not evenly distributed across populations. A small fraction of individuals—often termed chronic, persistent, or high-rate offenders—are responsible for a disproportionate share of serious criminal harm. … Continue reading →

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White Paper: The Central Role of Comparative Reference Frameworks in Online DNA Ancestry Testing

Posted on December 15, 2025 by nathanalbright

Executive Summary Online DNA ancestry testing services present themselves as tools for uncovering personal heritage through genetic analysis. However, the ancestry results they provide are not direct readings of genetic “origin” in any absolute sense. Rather, they are comparative inferences, … Continue reading →

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White Paper: Coaching Carousels: The Hard Math of Winning and the Nature of Expectations for Success in Competitive Sport

Posted on October 16, 2025 by nathanalbright

Executive Summary This white paper examines the recurring phenomenon of “coaching carousels” — the rapid turnover of head coaches across professional and collegiate sports. It analyzes the mathematical, psychological, and institutional dynamics that drive the cycle of hiring, firing, and … Continue reading →

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White Paper: The Myth of Tax Revenue Windfalls: Examining the Historical Gap Between Tax Hike Expectations and Capital Flight Reality

Posted on October 5, 2025 by nathanalbright

Executive Summary Policymakers often anticipate significant revenue gains from increasing taxes on high-income earners, assuming static behavior among taxpayers. However, historical evidence reveals a persistent gap between these projections and actual outcomes, largely due to capital flight, migration, and behavioral … Continue reading →

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On Systemic Anti-White Classification And Reporting Bias

Posted on April 24, 2025 by nathanalbright

Possibility: Could Underrecognition Indicate Systemic Bias Against Whites? It is theoretically possible that the underrecognition of Black-on-White crime as racially motivated reflects a systemic bias, defined as institutional or cultural practices that consistently disadvantage one group (in this case, Whites). … Continue reading →

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Book Review: Naked Statistics

Posted on September 7, 2024 by nathanalbright

Naked Statistics: Stripping The Dread From The Data, by Charles Wheelan Mathematics is the sort of subject that a lot of people fear, but when it comes to understanding the world around us, statistics is among the most useful and … Continue reading →

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Book Review: Escape From Model Land

Posted on May 23, 2024 by nathanalbright

Escape From Model Land: How Mathematical Models Can Lead Us Astray And What We Can Do About It, by Erica Thompson In many ways, this book is a product of its time, and unhappily so. The book was written by … Continue reading →

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Book Review: Ages Of Discord

Posted on April 15, 2024 by nathanalbright

Ages Of Discord: A Structural-Demographic Analysis Of American History, by Peter Turchin In reading this book, I was struck by the fact that there are really two types of books by this author, and both of them are great kinds … Continue reading →

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Book Review: End Times

Posted on April 2, 2024 by nathanalbright

End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites, And The Path Of Political Disintegration, by Peter Turchin To a large extent, I owe the formulation of my blog, Edge Induced Cohesion, to the writing of the author of this book and to my thoughts … Continue reading →

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A Modest Proposal For The Development Of DIY Charts

Posted on June 16, 2021 by nathanalbright

While there have been websites that have catered to subjective personal charts, most of these were merely charts based on favoritism and there was not the provision of a large amount of data to allow the development of charts that … Continue reading →

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